Decision making in the face of multiple plausible futures is emerging as a key capability in the face of global and climate change. The future is described not by forecasts or probability distributions, but by multiple "scenarios". This is also called Decision making under deep uncertainty.

We want to make decisions that are "robust" and "adaptive" even when our knowledge of the future is shaky.

Different assumptions and hypotheses can be explored using exploratory modelling, scenario development or "stress testing" of decision alternatives.

We can design better management options by evaluating their robustness, anticipating vulnerabilities, reasoning about future information and responsibilities, and planning adaptive pathways, signposts and triggers.

This website synthesises reference materials about theory, software tools, and examples for decision making in the face of multiple plausible futures. If in doubt, start here.

This is a community resource. We welcome contributions on GitHub